This link will show you all of these strategies on the Seasonal Calculator. Matt: 255953. My strategy has done very well in 2025, likely at this point to win the suds (written 12/18/25). I have decided to stick with it for 2026. This strategy is based on median, and there was a lot of homework
Matt’s 2025 beer bet strategy was listed incorrectly on the seasonal calculator from December 2024 until Feb 6th, 2025. The correct strategy number is 255953! I didn’t write this post until 2/6/2025, but note that I am ignoring all 2025 data for the purpose of writing it. The strategies discussed here do not take into
The TSP board (Federal Retirement Thrift Investment Board) voted to replace the existing I fund index with a new I fund index that includes more foreign countries. The new index will be “MSCI ACWI IMI ex US ex China ex Hong Kong”. The old index was “MSCI Europe, Australasia and Far East (EAFE)”. You can
A review of 2022 core funds and beer bet strategies A limited commentary on the bear market Featured Strategies 2023 1. A review of 2022 core funds and beer bet strategies 2022 was rough… And here are the beer bet results so far (12/24/22)… With a week to go, it appears to be Larry by
2021 In Review At time of writing (12/23/21), we don’t yet have the final numbers for 2021. But it looks like the clear winner of the 2021 beer bet will be Travis. This link below shows all of the 2021 beer bets, compared against the C & S funds, as well as a 50/50 split:
No, you’re not going to make 30% every year by following a TSPcalc strategy. The Seasonal Calculator has been accurately described as a “back-test engine”. In other words, a Hindsight Generator. The Seasonal Calculator is not a crystal ball. Instead, it’s the opposite- the Seasonal Calculator can only look backward. By optimizing trades for the
I want everyone to be successful in investing. To that end, I am inclined to point people in what I believe is the right direction. But investing involves risk. None of these strategies are guaranteed to perform well. You might even lose money if you follow them. This is more than a disclaimer; I genuinely
